Ezotop

Friday, November 24, 2023

Ocbc Bank - She is rather weak! Likely to breakdown 12.60 and go further down to test 12.20 and 12.00. What Goes Up High will Come down eventually.

 

Ocbc Bank - She is rather weak! Likely to breakdown 12.60 and go further down to test 12.20 and 12.00.



Ocbc Bank - 3rd quarter results is out! Net profit is up 21% to 1.81b. 









9 month Net Profitis up 32% to 5.4b(record Profit). 
Net interest income is up 17% to 2.46b.
Net interest margin is up 2.26%.
It looks like NIM is still able to achieve +1bp for 3rd quarter.  


I think results is good but market doesnt seem to like it as the price has turned lower , down 12 cents to 12.94! Cautious mode!







30th October 2023:

 Chart wise,  bearish mode!



If 12.68 cannot hold,  most probably we may see her drifting lower to test 12.40 than 12.19 and 12.00.

Not a call to buy or sell! 

Pls dyodd.

 Last Friday closed lower at 12.79 with a Gap Down looks rather negative! Likely to see further selling down pressure!

Short term wise,  I think likely to go down to test 12.60 than 12.41 . Next she may go further down to test 12.17 than 12.00.

Please dyodd.



TA wise, bearish mode!



I think likely to go down to test 12.17 than 12.00.

Please dyodd. 

Chart wise,  bearish mode!

I think likely to go down to revist 12.00 than 11.80.
Please dyodd.




 She is going Ex.dividend on 14th August,  I think market is giving chance to secure the profit!

She is trading near the peak resistance and it may experience the same selling down price patterns as reflected on the chart! 



As interest rate is more or less peak and bank Net Interest Margin likely fall plus bad debts allowance might increase therefore,  total Revenue and Net income may be lowered! 

US bank already seen Analyst lowering their TP. I think is good ro be cautious!

Not a call to buy or sell!

Please dyodd.

So fast, asking for loan liao! 

4.5% seem not bad! 



Not a call to buy or sell.

Please dyodd. 


Wah, another Gap down upon results released looks like market already priced in the good sets of financial numbers and it doesn't boils well for this kind of price action!



Looks like the uptrend direction is halted and we may see further selling down pressure!

Please dyodd.

 All the 3 local banks attained good profit and all boosting their dividend payout. But going forward, profit may be lowered due to interest rate pause or bad debts  allowance.



Total Income of 6.8b.

RoE of 14.3%.



EPS 1.60 per share.

Interim dividend increase 43% from 0.28 to 0.40.

XD 14 August,  pay date 25 August. 

Yield of 6%. Is much higher than index reit.




TA wise, looks like the same price patterns may repeat itself! 



After hitting the resistance level it may likely see further weakness. 

I think is never wrong to lock in profit!

Don't let the profit slip away!

Please dyodd. 



TA wise,  bearish mode!

If she can't hold at 12.00 price level, 



the next support level Is 11.93 than 11.80.

Please dyodd.

 Chart wise,  bearish mode!

Likely to see further weakness!



Immediate support is at about 12.20.

Yearly dividend is about 0.65-0.68.

Yield is about 5.29% or 5.5% at 12.28 seems quite a gd yield!

Pls dyodd.

 OCBC Bank is the longest established Singapore bank, formed in 1932 from the merger of three local banks, the oldest of which was founded in 1912. It is now the second largest financial services group in Southeast Asia by assets and one of the world’s most highly-rated banks, with Aa1 by Moody’s and AA- by both Fitch and S&P. Recognised for its financial strength and stability, OCBC Bank is consistently ranked among the World’s Top 50 Safest Banks by Global Finance and has been named Best Managed Bank in Singapore by The Asian Banker.

OCBC Bank and its subsidiaries offer a broad array of commercial banking, specialist financial and wealth management services, ranging from consumer, corporate, investment, private and transaction banking to treasury, insurance, asset management and stockbroking services.

OCBC Bank’s key markets are Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia and Greater China. It has more than 420 branches and representative offices in 19 countries and regions. These include over 190 branches and offices in Indonesia under subsidiary Bank OCBC NISP, and over 60 branches and offices in Mainland China, Hong Kong SAR and Macau SAR under OCBC Wing Hang.

OCBC Bank’s private banking services are provided by its wholly-owned subsidiary Bank of Singapore, which operates on a unique open-architecture product platform to source for the best-in-class products to meet its clients’ goals.

OCBC Bank's insurance subsidiary, Great Eastern Holdings, is the oldest and most established life insurance group in Singapore and Malaysia. Its asset management subsidiary, Lion Global Investors, is one of the largest private sector asset management companies in Southeast Asia.


Yearly dividend of about 0.65 to 0.68.






Current Price of 12.23, yield is about 5.31% /5.5%.

P/B is slightly above 1.

The dividend yield is above 5% which is considered good!


Chart wise, it is trading in a consolidation mode!

Waiting for the next catalyst to drive the price higher.

Looking at the chart we can see some buying interest with huge volume transacted on certain day which is rather interesting!


Will it repeat the same price patterns!

We will know the answer in next few trading sessions!

Pls dyodd.



Thursday, November 23, 2023

Nikkoam stc Asia REIT ETF - Train engine is warming up and anytime may go full speed ahead! This REIT ETF covers most of the famous reit counters which is one of the ETF great to be in our Portfolio! Quarterly dividend payout of about 1.31 cents, Awesome!

Nibbled a bit at 0.801. Nice yield of about 6.5%!

Chart wise, she is slowly recovering from the low of 0.73+ looks rather positive!

Pls dyodd.




NikkoAM-STC Asia REIT ETF (CFA.SI) - She is yielding 6.49% at 0.801, Quarterly dividend, I think is a good yield level to take note! 





It covers most of the index reit like CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust,  CapitaLand Ascendas REIT,  Mapletree Ind Tr,  Mapletree Logistics Trust,  Frasers L&C Tr etc.

Chart wise, it has managed to bounce-off from the low of 73.6 cents and closed well at 0.802, looks rather bullish!

If this bullish momentum continue we may likely see her rising up further towards 90 cents and above. 

Not a call to buy or sell!

Please dyodd.

Lendlease Reit - Chart wise, bullish mode! Need a Nice breakout of 60 cents smoothly in order to rise up further towards 64 than 66 cents !

 Is getting interesting!



She needs a nice crossing over of 60 cents in order to rise up further towards 64 than 66 cents! 

Pls dyodd. 


Chart wise,  bullish mode!

It has rebounded nicely from the low of 49.5 cents and closed well at 57.5 cents looks rather bullish!



Short term wise,  I think likely to rise up to reclaim 59.5-60 cents and rises higher to revisit 64 cents than 66 cents!

Please dyodd.

3rd quarter results update. 

No financial numbers is being mentioned on the update!



Mainly saying occupancy is the same as last quarter 99.9%. ICR 3.9% seem not bad! 

Gearing has edged up to 40.6%. I think financial costs may increase again! 

Pls dyodd. 



Chart wise, it has managed to bounce-off from 49 cents to close at 55.5 cents seems rather positive! 

Immediate resistance is at 57 cents. 

let's see how market react tomorrow!

 Chart wise,  bearish mode!



No sign of reversal!

How far it will go lower is a guessing number! 

I think is good to stay cautious!

Please dyodd.

 Is this a value trap or golden opportunity? 

I think I am gearing more towards extra cautious mode! 

The market is weak and all waiting for Fed meeting in September whether will there be another hike or postpone till November. 

NAV 0.787. Yearly dividend is about 4.7 cents.  Yield is about 8.4%.

The current high interest rates environment is likely increase their operation costs and thereby eating into their distribution income and lower the dpu payout.



Chart wise, looks like the same scenario may play out like Ireit chart patterns. 

short term wise, it may go down to revisit 50 cents.

Please dyodd.

Quote: citi analyst - LREIT’s gearing for the 4QFY2023 ended June 30 stood at 40.6%, which is its highest level since it listed on October 2019.
“We estimate a higher look-through (including $0.4 billion [in] perpetual securities (perps) and debt at Parkway Parade Partnership’s level) gearing of 50.5%, which ranks highest among S-REITs under our coverage (average 40.1%),” Lee writes. Is good to be extra cautious!


The manager of Lendlease Global Commercial REIT (“Lendlease Global REIT”), announced today that it has successfully completed its Initial Public Offering (“IPO”) of 387,474,987 units in Lendlease Global REIT (“Units”) at S$0.88 each (“Offering Price”), in connection with the proposed listing.

IPO price at 0.88 I think likely a history! 

Those got it at IPO is still loosing money even with dividend collected.

Pls dyodd.

Wednesday, November 22, 2023

Frencken - 3rd quarter results is out! Net Profit is down 35.1% to 7.1m the Results is No Good! Chart wise, also showing weakness! Likely to see further selling down pressure!

  Frencken  - 3rd quarter results is out! Net Profit is down 35.1% to 7.1m the Results is No Good! Chart wise, also showing weakness! Likely to see further selling down pressure!



Group 3rd quarter revenue is down 5.6% to 184.4m.

NAV is about 91 cents.



Cash in hands is 136.1m. Total loan amount is 99.5m. Net cash of about 36.6m. 

Business outlook- remains challenging!

Not a call to buy or sell!

Pls dyodd. 






Frencken  - Results is out, Net profit is down 54.6% to 11.8m.



EPS is down to 2.82 cents versus 6.11 cents last year.



Cash Flow is generating negative figures!

Borrowing costs is also quite high.




PE is about 14.6x at 0.825.

Not a call to buy or sell .

Please dyodd.


TA wise,  bearish mode!



Short term wise, if she is not able to stay above 0.82 then high probability she may go down to test 0.76 to 0.785.

Please dyodd.



Is she out of the danger zone, I doubt so!

Seem like a classical throwing back reaction after a series of selling down.



She may go down to retest 0.895 ! Breaking down of 0.895 plus high volume she may continue to slide down further to 0.80 then 0.76.

Pls dyodd.


 TA wise,  bearish mode!

Likely to continue to go lower!



Short term wise,  likely to go down to test 0.96. Breaking down of 0.96 may see her going further down to test 0.9/0.915. Next, she may slide down to 0.80 then 0.76.

Pls dyodd.


Tuesday, November 21, 2023

CapLand IntCom Tr (C38U.SI) - Wah, nice uptrend chart patterns likely to clear 1.90 And rises higher to test 1.95!

Looks like she may cross over the resistance at 1.90 any moment! 



Pathing way foe 1.95 than 2.00 with extension to 2.09.

Pls dyodd.


  Chart wise,  bullish mode!



Short term wise,  she may likely rise up to test 1.90 Tyan 1.95 with extension to 2.07-2.09.

Not a call to buy or sell!

Please dyodd.

It seems like it is having a temporary rebound as the volume is still low not so convincing!



Pls dyodd. 


At 1.69, yield is about 6.27% of which I think is quite a gd yield for this giant retail cum grade A office reit.




NAV 2.12.

3rd quarter Results update will be out on 26th October. 

Not a call to buy or sell!

Pls dyodd. 


CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT or the Trust) is the first and largest real estate investment trust (REIT) listed on Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited (SGX-ST) with a market capitalisation of S$13.5 billion as at 31 December 2022. It debuted on SGX-ST as CapitaLand Mall Trust in July 2002 and was renamed CICT in November 2020 following the merger with CapitaLand Commercial Trust (CCT).


 Looking at the FY 2022 results the NPI is up 9.7% and achieved an increased of DPU from 10.40 to 10.58 cents. It looks like the rental income is improving!







The First Quarter 2023 update is as follow:

The NPI is up 11.3% to 276.3m and occupancy rate % has improved from 95.8 to 96.2.




The gearing is slightly from 40.90 to 40.40%.



The Average WALE is 3.7 years.




The Top 10 tenants are RC Hotels (Pte) Ltd, WeWork Singapore, GIC Private Limited, NTUC Enterprise Co-Operative Ltd & Temasek Holdings etc.




Total Property value is about 24.2 billion of which is the Biggest reit counter listed on the Local Singapore Exchange.

NAV is about 2.116.

Yearly dividend of about 10.58, Yield is about 5.6%(based on current price of 1.89).

I think gd pivot entry point is back!

Please dyodd.


SATS - She is gaining strength likely to rise up to reclaim 2.99 again, looks rather bullish!

SATS - She is gaining strength likely to rise up to reclaim 2.99 again, looks rather bullish!  A nice breakout of 3.00 smoothly may likely s...